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Isolating Nonlinear Independent Sources in fMRI with $β$-TCVAE Models
Li, Qiang, Yu, Shujian, Malo, Jesus, Liu, Jingyu, Adali, Tülay, Calhoun, Vince D.
Learning meaningful latent representations from nonlinear fMRI data remains a fundamental challenge in neuroimaging analysis. Traditional independent component analysis, widely used due to its ability to estimate interpretable functional brain networks, relies on a linear mixing assumption for latent sources, limiting its ability to capture the inherently nonlinear and complex organization of brain dynamics. More recently, deep representation learning methods have emerged as promising alternatives for modeling nonlinear latent structure. However, many of these approaches have been evaluated primarily on simulated datasets or natural image benchmarks, with comparatively limited validation on real-world neuroimaging data such as fMRI. In this work, we are motivated by the $β$-TCVAE (Total Correlation Variational Autoencoder), a refinement of the $β$-VAE framework for learning latent representations without introducing additional hyperparameters during training. We adapt and modify this model to fMRI data for nonlinear source disentanglement, aiming to separate mixed spatial and temporal brain signals into interpretable components. We show that the $β$-TCVAE framework can recover meaningful nonlinear spatial components with biological relevance, including well-established intrinsic connectivity networks such as the default mode network. Furthermore, we evaluate the learned representations using functional network connectivity, showing that the latent structure captures coherent and interpretable brain organization patterns. This study provides a pilot investigation that bridges nonlinear representation learning and fMRI analysis.
Blind-Spot Mass: A Good-Turing Framework for Quantifying Deployment Coverage Risk in Machine Learning Systems
Pal, Biplab, Bhattacharya, Santanu, Singh, Madanjit
Blind-spot mass is a Good-Turing framework for quantifying deployment coverage risk in machine learning. In modern ML systems, operational state distributions are often heavy-tailed, implying that a long tail of valid but rare states is structurally under-supported in finite training and evaluation data. This creates a form of 'coverage blindness': models can appear accurate on standard test sets yet remain unreliable across large regions of the deployment state space. We propose blind-spot mass B_n(tau), a deployment metric estimating the total probability mass assigned to states whose empirical support falls below a threshold tau. B_n(tau) is computed using Good-Turing unseen-species estimation and yields a principled estimate of how much of the operational distribution lies in reliability-critical, under-supported regimes. We further derive a coverage-imposed accuracy ceiling, decomposing overall performance into supported and blind components and separating capacity limits from data limits. We validate the framework in wearable human activity recognition (HAR) using wrist-worn inertial data. We then replicate the same analysis in the MIMIC-IV hospital database with 275 admissions, where the blind-spot mass curve converges to the same 95% at tau = 5 across clinical state abstractions. This replication across structurally independent domains - differing in modality, feature space, label space, and application - shows that blind-spot mass is a general ML methodology for quantifying combinatorial coverage risk, not an application-specific artifact. Blind-spot decomposition identifies which activities or clinical regimes dominate risk, providing actionable guidance for industrial practitioners on targeted data collection, normalization/renormalization, and physics- or domain-informed constraints for safer deployment.
John Solly Is the DOGE Operative Accused of Planning to Take Social Security Data to His New Job
A whistleblower complaint alleges John Solly claimed to have stored highly sensitive Social Security data on a thumb drive. Solly and Leidos, his current employer, strongly deny the allegations. John Solly, a software engineer and former member of the so-called Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), is the DOGE operative reportedly accused in a whistleblower complaint of telling colleagues that he stored sensitive Social Security Administration (SSA) data on a thumb drive and wanted to share the information with his new employer, multiple sources tell WIRED. Since October, according to a copy of his résumé, Solly has worked as the chief technology officer for the health IT division of a government contractor called Leidos, which has already received millions in SSA contracts and could receive up to $1.5 billion in contracts with SSA based on a five-year deal it signed in 2023. Solly's personal website and LinkedIn have been taken offline as of this week.